Saturday, November 30, 2013

250 Million Litres Of Toxins Every Day

What do Niagara Falls and the tar sands have in common?

Every day 250 million litres of toxic liquid waste is generated by the tar sands. That’s about as much water as pours over Niagara Falls in 90 seconds.

Big Oil is spending millions of dollars to greenwash the tarsands. It’s time for a much-needed reality check. Canadians deserve the truth about water and the tar sands. Watch our new video, Reality Check: Water and the Tar Sands, which sets the record straight. 
 
Want to know more? Check out our report: Reality Check: Water and the Tar Sands.

German Fossil Fuel Power Plants To Shut Down

Unable To Compete, German Fossil Fuel Power Plants To Shut Down

by John Johnston on 08/19/2013
Rooftop solar panels - GermanyIn a recent report released by RWE, the second largest electricity producer in Germany, the company has confirmed it is planning to withdraw 3.1 gigawatts of fossil fuel generating capacity from the electricity market.

RWE maintains that because there is a growing amount of renewable energy in Germany’s energy mix, wholesale energy prices have declined, so the company would be losing money if it had to sell power at the lower prices. A RWE statement explains, “Due to the continuing boom in solar energy, many power stations throughout the sector and across Europe are no longer profitable to operate. During the first half of 2013, the Conventional Power Generation Division’s operating result fell by almost two-thirds”.

The fossil fuel plants that are being talked about are not new plants, they are power plants that have already paid back the initial investment of building them, so it goes to show just how unviable they have become in the emerging era of renewable energy. Building new fossil fuel plants is all but out of the question these days.
Image CC licensed by Jim Winstead: Rooftop solar panels in Germany.
via Cleantechnica

Emus

Relax - wind farms aren't stressing out your emus

Posted Wed 27 Nov 2013, 3:28pm AEDT
What links the phenomena of allegedly stressed emus, dancing cattle and disoriented echidnas? Nothing but the ill-founded trend to blame anything and everything on wind farms, writes Simon Chapman.
 
Last week in Nova Scotia, the Canadian Atlantic province where midwinter temperatures fall to -20 degrees celsius, a small emu farm closed down. There's nothing unusual about this. Investment in emu farming was an ill-fated get-rich-quick bubble that burst in Canada over a decade ago. It has been described as a "failed industry".

But what made this sad story even sadder was that the husband and wife team behind it blamed the closure on wind turbines, saying they had seen many of their birds lose weight and die of "stress". Tellingly, no necropsies were performed, prompting one person to comment, "So they didn't have necropsies performed on any of the animals? That is extremely irresponsible farming. The department of Agriculture should be called in to inspect for animal cruelty."

As the picture illustrating this story shows, in Australia, where emus don't tend to be kept in pens and fed on pellets, the birds roam freely around turbines, among sheep and cattle.

But this morning in my email, a jubilant anti-wind-farm activist from rural NSW used the emu story to undermine the idea that wind-farm health complaints might be explained by negative thoughts about wind-farms, known as the "nocebo effect":
We were was also wondering if you know how the 'nocebo effect' works in emus? Is it a communicated disease and just how do the emus spread the word? Do you think if they paid the emus they may not have had a problem?
Nice try. But no cigar. Because if you peer just below the surface of these claims, there are obvious unanswered questions about effects on animals.

My ever-expanding collection of (now) 234 diseases and symptoms attributed to wind turbines includes many about animals. Some of the more interesting ones include reports of "dancing cattle" ("Cattle have been videotaped 'dancing' or lifting hooves repetitively from being shocked by electrical voltage in the ground" said to be leaking from wind turbines); bee extinction; a farmer opining that echidnas are disoriented by turbines, causing them to "dig up more soil looking for food than before and that they could pinpoint the location of their food source much more accurately back then (before turbines were installed)"; and the death of "more than 400 goats" on an outlying Taiwanese island.

Four hundred is a nice big number for goats, and oddly enough, it's the same number of goats that allegedly "dropped dead" in New Zealand! In Wisconsin, too, a farmer claims he lost most of his cattle herd after turbines were installed. Anti-wind-farm websites are awash with these astonishing claims that seem to have escaped the relevant authorities. Try searching for any official corroboration in government or official investigations and you'll be looking for a long time.

As anyone with even a passing familiarity with farming knows, mass or unusual deaths in livestock are of intense interest to governments because of concerns about infectious diseases with the potential to devastate the farming sector and export trade, or even lead to animal to human transmission. Concern about diseases like brucellosis, avian influenza and hendra virus see authorities isolate farms and destroy all remaining stock. Massive publicity follows. But when 400 goats unaccountably "drop dead" or a farmer reports lots of dead emus, these same government authorities are nowhere to be seen. It must be a conspiracy of silence.

All of the problems the anti's claim that wind turbines cause in humans occur in every community, regardless of whether they are near wind farms or not. Forty-five per cent of people report symptoms of insomnia at least once a week. Anxiety and depression are widespread. Getting old? Hair turning grey or receding? Eyesight, hearing, balance problems increasing with age? Putting on or losing weight? You need to know that all of these problems are apparently caused by wind turbines.

Many of the claims about animals fall into the same category. Yolkless eggs and those without shells are phenomena known to every poultry farmer, as this advisory site shows. But when such eggs are lain by chickens belonging to someone who doesn't like wind farms then Robert's your father's brother, it can only have been caused by the dastardly turbines! Dogs, horses, sheep, cattle, getting listless, skitty, off their food ... or anything really: wind turbines are to blame.

Every day in every country, thousands of people are diagnosed for the first time with one of countless health problems. They weren't having the symptoms that drove them to the doctor a few months ago, and now they have the diagnosis, they start thinking about what might have caused it. If they don't like the look of wind farms, or have been exposed to scary tales about all the things that can happen, and live near a wind farm, then the post hoc ergo propter hoc (after therefore because of) heuristic can powerfully kick in to make sense of the new problem.

Eighteen years ago, Australian news media were awash with stories of community panics about mobile telephone towers being likely to cause cancers. These never eventuated, with the age-adjusted incidence of almost all cancers in Australia flat-lining. Today, there are occasional reprises of this hysteria, but with the ubiquity of mobile phones, familiarity has calmed the situation. The current fringe hysteria about wind farms is likely to go the same way.

Simon Chapman AO is professor of Public Health at the University of Sydney and 2013 Australian Skeptic of the Year. View his full profile here.

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Germany Hits 59% Renewable Peak

Germany Hits 59% Renewable Peak, Grid Does Not Explode

Electricity prices plunge to 2.75 cents per kilowatt-hour as renewable energy dominates on Germany’s Reunification Day.

Eric Wesoff
October 30, 2013
Wind and solar power peaked at 59.1 percent of German power generation earlier this month. It happened at noon on a very windy and sunny October 3, which is the German holiday commemorating reunification. (Germany also hit peaks of 61 percent, a record, and 59 percent earlier this year.)

Solar and wind provided 36.4 percent of total electricity generation over the entire day, with PV accounting for 11.2 percent.
 
The electrical grid appears intact but electricity prices took a tumble. According to an analysis by Bernard Chabot of BCCONSULT, low demand from large conventional power plants drove the electricity price index covering Germany, Austria, France and Switzerland to 2.75 cents per kilowatt-hour at 2:00 p.m.

Some additional stats from Chabot's report about Germany's power mix on October 3:
  • Solar and wind furnished a total of more than 436 gigawatt-hours.
  • At peak, solar furnished 20.5 gigawatts, with wind peaking at 16.6 gigawatts.
  • Conventional power plants had to ramp down to 23 gigawatts at about noon.
We recently reported on an NREL study specific to one U.S. regional grid (the Western Interconnection), which found the costs of backing up and integrating wind and solar are far smaller than the benefits accrued from the use of renewables. We've reported on the ways in which the traditional utility model is under threat from renewables. And we've heard from grid experts who see the European grid as strained and soon to be challenged by the onslaught of renewables.

Wind Integration in Denmark

Postcard From the Grid’s Future: Record-Breaking Wind Integration in Denmark

Postcard From the Grid’s Future: Record-Breaking Wind Integration in Denmark

Think the U.S. can’t handle high levels of wind? Denmark has been doing it for years.

Renewable electricity records are falling every day. In early October, Germany recently hit a 59 percent renewable peak, Colorado utility Xcel Energy peaked at 60 percent wind at the beginning of the year, and Spain got its top power supply from wind for three months leading into 2013.
But that’s chump change compared with Denmark. According to data from Energinet, the national grid operator, wind power has produced 30 percent of gross power consumption to date in 2013. This includes over 90 hours where wind produced more than all of Denmark’s electricity needs, peaking at 122 percent on October 28, at 2:00 a.m.

And Denmark has plans to get to 50 percent more wind by 2020, creating even bigger hourly peaks. Energinet predicts the country may hit as many as 1,000 hours per year of power surplus.

To champions of renewables, this is validation that a clean energy future is possible and that the transition is already underway. These regions also give insight into what is to come in the U.S., and what needs to change to keep a reliable and affordable power system as clean energy grows.

As part of America’s Power Plan, we have developed a series of “postcards from the future,” describing places like Denmark that are already grappling with a high-renewables future.

Studies and real-world experience are underscoring that there are many tactics available to deal with the variability of wind and solar, and that these tactics are largely substitutes for each other.

While energy storage comes to mind first for many people, the truth is that the grid has functioned just fine with very little storage. Power system operators have to deal with variability all the time, with or without renewables. Demand fluctuates with the weather, time of day, social activities, and industrial operations. And supply varies unexpectedly too, such as when a power plant breaks down. The fluctuations of wind and solar, especially at moderate levels, are just one more variable -- one that may or may not add to overall variability, depending on the system and timing.

Power system engineers use a whole suite of tools to match supply and demand, both minute-to-minute and over longer time frames. The most obvious example is a dispatchable power plant, like a gas turbine. But they also benefit from bigger balancing areas (trading power with neighbors), more transmission connections to reduce congestion, faster-acting fossil power plants, direct load control and demand response, targeted energy efficiency, and curtailment of wind and solar plants.

Hydro power and even fossil fuels are the traditional forms of energy storage, but many more are emerging, such as using power to heat district heating systems, compressed air, batteries and flywheels, and charging electric cars during the renewable peak.

It is increasingly common to treat wind power as a controllable generator, rather than just letting it go full out. System operators in New York, Texas and the Midwest direct wind farm owners to submit five-minute forecasts of output, and ramp up and down if necessary to meet system demands, just like conventional generators. The Midwest ISO enforces this with a “dispatchable intermittent tariff.”

So how can Denmark be 122 percent wind-powered? Where does the extra power go?
Denmark is part of an integrated regional grid with the Scandinavian countries and parts of Germany. They have a constant trade with utilities in the region, especially hydro plants in Norway.

As renewables grow and as Denmark attempts to phase out fossil fuels altogether by 2050, the country is aggressively adopting smart grid technologies, leading Europe in research and demonstration projects on a per-capita basis. The island of Bornholm will be a test bed, with extensive smart grid and renewable energy deployment. Demand response is beginning to grow, though in a different form than in the US. Denmark also has big goals for electric cars, and has exempted them from the 180 percent sales tax applied to gas and diesel vehicles.

But conventional solutions will be the first solution through better grid links between countries. As Germany’s Agora Energiewende has put it in its 12 Insights report, “Grids are cheaper than storage facilities.” More grid connections allow surplus power to be shipped off rather than curtailed or stored. Larger balancing areas reduce the variability of wind and solar across a wider geographic area. Agora thinks storage will only be necessary when renewables constitute 70 percent of total supply.

As in the U.S., European regulators are grappling with policies to integrate large amounts of renewables. While technical issues remain, they are not really new, only of a larger scale. Most of the integration tools are known; they just need to be bigger and more capable to deal with bigger variations.

Less known are the policy issues. How big should control areas be? How much should be invested in transmission lines, and who should pay for them? What is the relative value of energy payments, versus capacity payments or ancillary services? Most of all, how should we pay for the services we need to keep the lights on?

In America’s Power Plan, Mike Hogan of the Regulatory Assistance Project calls for aligning power markets with clean energy goals, giving proper incentives for market flexibility.

With 2020 just around the corner, it will be instructive to see how Denmark deals with getting half its electricity from the wind. What will the country do with a 200 percent wind day?

***
Bentham Paulos is the project manager for America’s Power Plan.
Author's note: A number of system operators have put their real-time data online and in iPhone apps, so you can track hourly progress on renewables.
Energinet (Denmark): Real time map and historical data
National Grid’s NETA (England): Data sources
California ISO: Daily demand graph and iPhone app
ISO New England: Guest dashboard
Midwest ISO: Contour pricing map

Renewables more affordable than nuclear in Ontario

Pembina Institute and Greenpeace report: Renewables more affordable than nuclear in Ontario


Solar PV and wind power can avoid the cost overruns associated with large nuclear projects, says a Greenpeace, Pembina report. Image: Darlington Nuclear Generating Station in Ontario (CNWC/CCTN)
Solar PV and wind power can avoid the cost overruns associated with large nuclear projects, says a Greenpeace, Pembina report. Image: Darlington Nuclear Generating Station in Ontario (CNWC/CCTN)

According to a new report by Pembina Institute (Calgary, Alberta, Canada) and Greenpeace, Ontario’s government is urged to review its nuclear commitments in the next long-term energy plan, as its grid electricity demand is projected to drop back to 1992 levels by 2022.
 
The report, titled “Renewable is Doable: Affordable and flexible options for Ontario's long-term energy plan”, reveals that investing in a portfolio of renewable energy options is a more cost-effective way to meet the Canadian province’s evolving energy needs, as green electricity sources like solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind power can avoid the cost overruns associated with large nuclear projects.
 
“New nuclear reactors would be providing Ontario with power it doesn’t need at a price it can’t afford,” stated Tim Weis, Director of Renewable Energy and Efficiency Policy, Pembina Institute.
 
Renewables more cost-effective than large nuclear projects

Past forecasts have overestimated Ontario’s demand for electricity in the coming decade. Therefore the province’s government would better serve electricity ratepayers if it does not include new unnecessary nuclear reactors, and reviews alternatives to repairing the province’s aging reactors, the report shows.
 
Ontario’s current long-term energy plan arbitrarily commits to generating 50% of its electricity with nuclear, regardless of both the financial and environmental costs, while removing this requirement from the next energy plan would allow more affordable green alternatives to compete with nuclear power, shows the report.

Germany sets world record

Germany sets world record for monthly solar PV output at 5.1 TWh in July 2013


German PV production in July 2013 was 42% higher than a year prior
German PV production in July 2013 was 42% higher than a year prior

The German Federal Association of Electricity and Water (BDEW) reports that the nation's solar photovoltaic (PV) plants produced more than 5.1 TWh in July 2013, a new record for the nation and the world.
 
This represents a 19% increase over the previous record of 4.3 TWh in June 2013, and a 42% increase from July 2012. It is also nearly double the output of Italy in July 2013, which has the second-largest capacity of installed PV globally.
 
German beats Italy in percentage of power from PV
 
As BDEW has not supplied demand figures for July 2013, it is not known what percentage of German demand was met with PV. However, given historical demand figures it is clear that PV output exceeded 10% of demand, likely falling at 12-13% of demand during the month. This puts Germany at an even higher portion of demand met with PV generation than Italy in July 2013.
 
Wind only produced 1.7 TWh hours during the month, down 41% year-over-year, as fossil fuel generation increased 14%. The nation also exported 70 GWh of electricity during the month.
 
Certain times in the month featured particularly high solar output. PV plants produced 179-204 GWh each day in the third week of July, which represented from 14.2% to 21.5% of production on a daily basis.